When Ozzie Guillen showed the
baseball world in the playoffs that it's OK to keep starting
pitchers in for the whole game, I was rejoicing because he
was providing some evidence for my theory that today's
managers tend to baby their starters. I believe that
pitchers get stronger by pitching longer into games.
In the new book from the
guys at
www.hardballtimes.com,
The Hardball Times Baseball Annual 2006, I
had an article titled the same as this Stat of the Week,
"What's so magic about 100 pitches?" In summary, there is
evidence that starting pitchers who average at least 100
pitches per start in the first half of the game tend to
improve in the second half. This is especially true for the
best pitchers. Here's a chart, arranged by first half ERA,
that summarizes the results.
First Half
ERA Group |
Improvement Due to Averaging 100
or More Pitches in the First Half |
| Under 3.00 |
40 ERA points |
| 3.00 to 3.99 |
20 ERA points |
| 4.00 to 4.99 |
10 ERA points |
| Over 4.99 |
No change |
While there are other
factors that may be coming into play (injuries, for
example), this does provide some cause to consider having
pitchers go deeper into games.