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Last week we saw that hitters pull
grounders 72% of the time. But what about flyballs?
We talked about the big infield shifts being put on
hitters like Jim Thome, Barry Bonds, David Ortiz, and
Ryan Howard. Based on the fact that they all hit
grounders around 80% of the time or better, it's the
right strategy. Do these guys hit flyballs as often?
What's your guess?
Let's just look at these four players to start with.
Are they pulling flyballs as often? You can certainly
see that they pull many a home run over the right field
fence. However, for purposes of our study, we excluded
home runs for the simple reason that you can't defend a
home run. We're looking at pull percentage to help us
with defensive positioning.
It turns out that none of the four players pull balls
hit in the air to the outfield (excluding home runs)
over 51% of the time. Here are the flyball pull
percentages for these guys from 2006:
| Barry Bonds, SF |
51% |
| David Ortiz, Bos
|
49% |
| Ryan Howard, Phi |
44% |
| Jim Thome, CWS
|
42% |
The major league pull percentage as a whole on balls
hit in the air to the outfield is 45%. This will come as
a surprise to many people, I'm sure. Especially for big
boppers like these four guys -- it seems like the best
defense is to shift the infield and play your outfield
deep and to pull. But the reality is, for most hitters,
play your outfield the opposite way, or at least,
straight away.
Here are the top and bottom five hitters in baseball
in 2006 in pulling balls hit in the air to the outfield:
| Top Five |
| Craig Biggio, Hou |
69% |
| Marcus Thames,
Det |
68% |
| Steve Finley, SF |
68% |
| Corey Patterson,
Bal |
64% |
| Paul Konerko, CWS |
62% |
| Bottom Five |
| Andre Ethier, LAD |
30% |
| Victor Martinez,
Cle |
30% (when batting
left-handed) |
| Joe Mauer, Min |
26% |
| Jason Kendall,
Oak |
25% |
| Brad Ausmus, Hou |
24% |
Note: minimum of 100 balls hit into the outfield in
the air (excluding home runs) |