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10 Left-handed Pitching Prospects
Left handed
pitchers are almost an enigma in baseball. Every team wants them
but few can figure out how to develop them. Even if they are not very
good they will probably have a job in some teams' bullpen. Most
lefties are considered soft tossers or control artists and the ones that
can "bring it" are considered gems. In the minors there
are few of these power lefties and the ones that do exist top this list.
1.
Scott Kazmir -- Tampa Bay Devil Rays 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 21 |
Majors |
5.67 |
33 |
33 |
21 |
41 |
1.63 |
4 |
|
AA |
1.59 |
51 |
30 |
11 |
24 |
0.96 |
0 |
|
A-high |
3.42 |
50 |
49 |
22 |
51 |
1.42 |
3 |
Scott is easily
the best left-handed pitching prospect in the minors. Drafted out
of high school by the Mets in the first round in 2002, Kazmir was traded
to Tampa Bay last season. There he made is big league debut and
had a memorable win against Pedro Martinez.
Kazmir brings a
combination of a nasty slider and fastball that can reach 97 mph.
He is also developing his changeup into a good pitch. His pure
stuff rates as arguably the best in the minors among south paws.
The lone knock
on Scott is his size. Standing at only 6' and weighing 170 pounds,
many in baseball wonder if he is an injury waiting to happen. This
concern also is what many believe led to the Mets trading him to the
Rays for a marginal pitcher, Victor Zambrano. If he stays
healthy and continues progress with his changeup, he could be as good as
anyone in the Majors.
2.
Jeff Francis -- Colorado Rockies 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 24 |
Majors |
5.15 |
37 |
42 |
13 |
32 |
1.48 |
8 |
|
AAA |
2.85 |
41 |
35 |
7 |
49 |
1.02 |
3 |
|
AA |
1.98 |
113.2 |
73 |
22 |
147 |
0.84 |
9 |
A new
hope? Jeff is a good bet to be the best pitcher ever developed by
the Rockies. The real question for Jeff is, how good can he be in
Colorado? Based on what he did in the minors, Francis could be a
model of how to be a successful pitcher at Coors.
What Jeff did
best is throw strikes. Using great accuracy on his fastball and
mixing in his changeup and slider, he was able to succeed in AAA
Colorado Springs. Jeff does not posses an overpowering fastball,
usually 88-90 mph, and might be labeled as a finesse
pitcher.
If he can show
the control he had in the minors and keep the ball down, Francis could
have a very successful career in Colorado and defy the notion that
pitcher can't succeed there.
3.
Dan Meyer -- Oakland A's 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 23 |
Majors |
0.00 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1.50 |
0 |
|
AAA |
2.79 |
61.1 |
62 |
25 |
60 |
1.42 |
6 |
|
AA |
2.22 |
65 |
50 |
12 |
86 |
0.95 |
1 |
In the first of
Billy Beane's big off season moves, the A's acquired Dan as the center
piece of the Tim Hudson trade. Drafted out of college in the first round
of the 2002 draft, Dan made his big league debut last season and was
expected to start the 2005 season in the A's rotation. A disappointing
spring, however, left him in Triple-A to start the season.
Meyer brings a
fastball, slider mix to the mound where he consistently hits 91-93 on
the guns. He has made steady progress through the minors with
about a half season at every level. He has succeeded at every stop
and has kept his walk and strikeout rates consistent.
With high
expectations going into this season, we will be able to see how he
handle pressure. He also is bound to have some rough stretches in
the majors, something he didn't see in the minors. How he handles
this will be a big sign of what his future holds. If he is able to
handle the mental side of the game, his stuff will carry him to a fine
career.
4.
Mike Hinckley -- Washington Nationals 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 22 |
AA |
2.87 |
94 |
83 |
23 |
80 |
1.13 |
5 |
|
A-high |
2.61 |
62 |
47 |
18 |
51 |
1.05 |
6 |
The Nationals
haven't had much going for them recently but things are beginning to
change. They have a new home and a new name. They are
also starting to develop a few prospects since trading off most of what they
had a few seasons ago. Hinckley is the best of that new lot.
Hinckley's repertoire
consists of a low 90s fastball, a curveball, and a changeup. He has
shown good command of his fastball and is progressing on this curve and
changeup. At 6'3, Hinckley has to room to fill out which could
lead to a little extra on his fastball.
Mike will likely
never develop into an ace, but he does have the ability to be a very
good pitcher. He has yet to pitch above Double-A ball and will have to
show that he can succeed at higher levels.
5.
Zach Duke -- Pittsburgh Pirates 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 21 |
AA |
1.58 |
51.1 |
41 |
10 |
36 |
1.00 |
2 |
|
A-high |
1.39 |
97 |
73 |
10 |
106 |
0.96 |
3 |
Pittsburgh has
had problems lately with its top pitching prospects, mostly due to
injuries. Duke is hoping to avoid that fate and become mainstay in the
Pirates' rotation.
Another lefty
without an overpowering fastball, Duke's big pitch is his sweeping
curveball. He already has terrific control of it and isn't afraid to
throw it at any point in the count. Duke is also said to have very
good mound presence and never seems gets rattled.
Like most of the
pitchers on this list, Duke doesn't project to be a #1 starter in the
Majors. His lack of a true power pitch could get him into trouble
if he doesn't maintain his control. Duke is almost ready for a spot in
the Pirates' rotation and just needs some seasoning at higher
levels.
6.
Scott Olsen -- Florida Marlins 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 21 |
A-high |
2.97 |
136.1 |
127 |
53 |
158 |
1.32 |
8 |
After lefty
Dontrelle Willis made his debut in 2003, Olsen was left as the best left
handed pitching prospect in the system. He hasn't disappointed as
he has dominated everywhere he's pitched.
When Olsen
signed out of high school in 2002 he was throwing in the high 80's but
now he is throwing in the low 90's and has been clocked as high as
96. That fastball has been his best weapon so far but his slider
and changeup are getting better.
Attitude might
be the biggest weakness for the southpaw. He has a very aggressive
nature and there have been times when he lost control of his emotions
while on the mound. Olsen has good stuff that is getting better
has he develops physically. If he can maintain the development
curve he will be the next pitcher to shine for the Marlins.
7.
John Danks -- Texas Rangers 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 19 |
A-high |
5.24 |
55 |
62 |
26 |
48 |
1.60 |
5 |
|
A-low |
2.17 |
49.2 |
38 |
14 |
64 |
1.06 |
4 |
Starved for
pitching for many years, the Rangers have some new hope. After failed
attempts to buy pitching, Texas has begun to build a pitching staff
through the draft. Danks is a big part of that plan after being
drafted 9th overall in 2003 out of high school.
Right now, John's
hammer curveball is his best offering and his fastball is usually in the
high 80's. He was forced to use his changeup more often last
season and it is becoming a better pitch. At 6'2, John has some room to
grow and could add velocity as he gets stronger.
Though he
struggled in high A ball, he was just 19 and still maintained a solid
strikeout rate. If he does add velocity to his fastball, it will enhance
all his other pitches and allow him to be an ace for the Rangers.
8.
Cole Hamels -- Philadelphia Phillies 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 22 |
A-high |
1.13 |
16 |
10 |
4 |
24 |
0.88 |
0 |
Injuries and
attitude. That has been the tale so far for the Philadelphia left
hander. He has all the skills to be a top flight pitcher. He
posses a terrific changeup, a low 90's fastball, and a developing curve.
The rest though is another matter.
Cole has had
injury problems since high school and missed most of last season with a
triceps injury. Then, it what is being described as an
altercation, he broke his left hand this winter that could sideline him
for several months.
Like many
pitchers with good stuff, injuries or attitude problems prevent them
from reaching their potential. Cole seems like he might be plagued
by a little of both. If the injuries haven't degraded any of his
stuff and he can stay away from injuries he could help the Phillies
soon.
9.
Greg Miller -- Los Angeles Dodgers 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 20 |
None |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Greg is another
injury case. He was touted as one of the best pitching prospects
in the game and the top lefty entering the 2004 season when the injury
bell rang. It started as a small shoulder injury but ended up
keeping him out all of 2004 and likely half of 2005.
When healthy,
Miller possessed a fastball that regularly hit 95, a plus slider and curve,
and a developing changeup. He had excellent command of all his
pitches which allowed him to throw anything anytime.
The injury has
left big question marks. Will he regain his velocity? Will
he regain his control? Will the shoulder problems continue to
haunt him? He is still young and could come back and still be an
elite pitcher, the light has just been dimmed a bit for now.
10.
Jake Stevens -- Atlanta Braves 
| Age |
2004 level |
ERA |
IP |
H |
BB |
SO |
WHIP |
HR |
| 20 |
A-low |
2.27 |
135 |
100 |
39 |
140 |
1.03 |
7 |
One could call
Atlanta a pitcher factory. They seem to be loaded with top
pitching prospects every year. This year it is Jake's turn to be
at the top of the south paw category.
Jake dominated
low A ball last season, establishing himself as one of the top prospects
in the game. He has added velocity to his fastball and now is able to
touch 94 on occasion, though he is usually at 89-91. He also is
developing a power curveball and a changeup. Jake stands at 6'3
and still could add more velocity as he fills out. If he does he
power stuff will become even more effective.
Honorable mention
(in alphabetical order):
Travis
Blackley, Seattle Mariners
Matt
Chico, Arizona Diamondbacks
Gio
Gonzalez, Chicago White Sox
Jon
Lester, Boston Red Sox
Francisco
Liriano, Minnesota Twins
Adam
Loewen, Baltimore Orioles
Paul
Maholm, Pittsburgh Pirates
Renyel
Pinto, Chicago Cubs
David
Purcey, Toronto Blue Jays
Andy Sisco, Kansas City Royals
Jeremy
Sowers, Cleveland Indians
Taylor
Tankersley, Florida Marlins
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