|
2007 Top 10 First Base Prospects
by Phil Zuccarell
1.
Joey Votto -- Cincinnati Reds
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
23
|
Double-A
|
508 |
.319 |
46 |
2 |
22 |
78 |
109 |
.408 |
.547 |
In a weak class of
first basemen, Votto takes the #1 spot. After struggling in 2005, batting .256
in his first full season in Hi A ball, Joey rebounded well in 2006. Hitting
.319 in AA he put himself back on the prospect map. He has all the power and
patience desired for the position and last season showed he can hit for average
as well. In the field he will likely be no more than average.
2. James Loney
-- Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
23
|
Triple-A
|
366 |
.380 |
33 |
2 |
8 |
32 |
34 |
.426 |
.546 |
|
|
MLB |
102 |
.284 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
8 |
10 |
.342 |
.559 |
Loney finally had
his breakout season batting .380 for AAA Las Vegas. He has all the talent to be
an above average first baseman. While his bat is his calling card his defense
is solid enough that he won’t be a liability in the field. The biggest knock so
far has been his lack of power. If that portion of his game develops he could
be a star. With the re-signing of Garciaparra he will probably get a little
more AAA seasoning.
3. Daric Barton
-- Oakland A’s 
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
21
|
Triple-A |
147 |
.259 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
32 |
26 |
.389 |
.395 |
Daric had a season
to forget in 2006. After hitting .313 or better at three stops the last two
seasons he could only manage to hit .259 in 143 AAA at bats before a broken
elbow ended his season. His ability to hit for average and get on base is what
will get him to the Majors. He has shown less than ideal power for a first
baseman and his fielding leaves a lot to be desired. He could see time at DH
for the A’s this season.
4. Joe Koshansky
-- Colorado Rockies 
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
24
|
Double-A
|
500 |
.284 |
28 |
0 |
31 |
64 |
134 |
.371 |
.526 |
Few players
improved their prospect status more than Koshansky in 2006 as he showed his
power will play at the higher levels. Joe is also a decent fielder and is
athletic for his size. While he shows the ability to take a walk his high
strikeout totals worry me a little. With Helton blocking his path he could be
asked to move to the outfield.
5. Justin Huber
-- Kansas City Royals 
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
24
|
Double-A
|
352 |
.278 |
22 |
2 |
15 |
40 |
94 |
.358 |
.480 |
|
|
MLB |
10 |
.200 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
.273 |
.300 |
After winning the
Futures Games MVP in 2005 Huber has become more average than great. He had a
solid season in 2006 but showed little of the power desired for the position.
He could be moved to the outfield to get playing time.
6. Scott Thorman
-- Atlanta Braves
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
25
|
Triple-A |
309 |
.298 |
16 |
2 |
15 |
31 |
48 |
.360 |
.508 |
|
|
MLB |
128 |
.234 |
11 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
21 |
.263 |
.438 |
It was a crucial
year for Scott in 2006 and he responded by surpassing his career best in batting
average while continuing to improve his power. Like most guys on this list his
power is what will get him playing time in the Majors. He is probably ready to
make a permanent jump there this season if only he had a place to play.
7. Mike Carp
-- New York Mets
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
23
|
Hi-A
|
491 |
.287 |
27 |
1 |
17 |
51 |
107 |
.379 |
.450 |
Mike put his name
on the prospect map with a solid 2006 campaign. Carp has shown developing plate
discipline to go along with his power. He needs to continue to progress in AA
this year to prove that 2006 was not a fluke.
8. Jason Botts
-- Texas Rangers 
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
26
|
Double-A
|
16 |
.125 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
.250 |
.125 |
|
|
Triple-A |
220 |
.309 |
19 |
1 |
13 |
31 |
61 |
.398 |
.582 |
|
|
MLB |
50 |
.220 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
18 |
.317 |
.417 |
If he could play
the field Jason would be higher on this list. He has proven that he can hit for
power and average. He also has shown the ability/willingness to take a walk.
He will probably be limited to DH where his bat will have to be exceptional to
get full time at-bats.
9. Gaby Sanchez
-- Florida Marlins 
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
Low-A |
189 |
.317 |
12 |
0 |
14 |
39 |
20 |
.447 |
.603 |
|
|
Hi-A |
55 |
.182 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
12 |
.324 |
.327 |
Showing excellent
plate discipline, Sanchez nearly walked twice as much as he struck out in his
pro debut. He has developing raw power and with his batting eye should hit for
a good average. He has gotten by on his bat and could stand to improve a little
defensively.
10. Lars Anderson
-- Boston Red Sox
|
Age
|
2006 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
19
|
DNP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Anderson was
drafted out of high school in 2006 and has yet to make is pro debut. He is said
to have tremendous raw power already and with his 6-5 frame should be able to
add more. As with all young players I would like to see more before I rank him
much higher.
2007
Top Prospects by Position |