|
Top
15 Outfield Prospects
by Chuck Dieringer
1.
Delmon Young
- Tampa Bay Devil Rays
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
20
|
Double-A |
330 |
.336 |
13 |
4 |
20 |
25 |
66 |
.386 |
.582 |
|
|
Triple-A |
228 |
.285 |
13 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
33 |
.303 |
.447 |
The top prospect in all
of baseball, Young's bat with power is certain to take him to future stardom. As
an 18-year old, he tore up the South Atlantic League. After skipping a level, he
was still a dominant force in Double-A and was promoted to Triple-A while he was
yet a teenager. Along with his tremendous bat, he has decent speed and a strong
rightfield arm. Expect him to spend the first couple of months of the 2006
season at Triple-A as he continues to improve his strikeout-to-walk ratio which
is only poor at this point due to his youth compared to the level of
competition.
2.
Jeremy Hermida - Florida Marlins
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
Double-A |
386 |
.293 |
29 |
2 |
18 |
111 |
89 |
.457 |
.518 |
|
|
Majors |
41 |
.293 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
6 |
12 |
.383 |
.634 |
Hermida was regarded as the top high
school hitter in the 2002 draft class and he has not disappointed. His approach
is phenomenal and should only help him continue to develop. The Marlins will
rely heavily on his bat to produce runs this season, expecting him to hit
.280-.290 with an on-base percentage over .400 and 25-30 homers.
3.
Joel Guzman -- Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
21
|
Double-A |
442 |
.287 |
31 |
2 |
16 |
42 |
128 |
.351 |
.475 |
Guzman was finally moved to the
outfield from shortstop after years of speculation. Guzman is expected to be a
big-time masher, in the mold of Juan Gonzalez. He could still benefit by having
more consistent at-bats, though he did walk more often in 2005 than previous
seasons. His strikeout totals will likely always be high, but with the power
potential he brings the Dodgers won't mind and they could add him to their big
league lineup later this season.
4.
Lasting Milledge -- New York Mets
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
21
|
High-A |
232 |
.302 |
15 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
41 |
.385 |
.418 |
|
|
Double-A |
193 |
.337 |
17 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
47 |
.392 |
.487 |
Entering the 2003 Draft, Milledge was
barely a notch below Delmon Young in many scouts' eyes. 2005 was his most
consistent year at the plate, though he still needs to draw more walks to show
an improved approach at the plate. His power potential still remains even though
he has yet to translate that into homerun totals. If is power fully develops, he
will be one of the more dangerous speed-power combo threats in baseball (60
stolen bases in 204 minor league games).
5.Carlos
Quentin -- Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
23
|
Triple-A |
452 |
.301 |
28 |
4 |
21 |
72 |
71 |
.422 |
.520 |
Quentin has a very mature knowledge
of the strike zone which has helped him bat better than .300 at every level he's
played. His career .428 OBP and 21 homers in each of his two full seasons add to
his offensive attack. He's ready for major league activity but is road blocked
in the Diamondback outfield.
6.
Felix Pie -- Chicago
Cubs
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
21
|
Double-A |
240 |
.304 |
17 |
5 |
11 |
16 |
53 |
.349 |
.554 |
The repertoire of Pie resembles that
of Milledge. Pie presents a dynamic display of speed and power. His athleticism
is among the elite in the game. The only concerning pitfall that may prevent him
from reaching his full potential is his free-swinging approach at the plate.
7.
Nick Markakis --
Baltimore Orioles
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
High-A |
350 |
.300 |
25 |
1 |
12 |
43 |
65 |
.379 |
.480 |
|
|
Double-A |
124 |
.339 |
16 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
30 |
.420 |
.573 |
A former pitcher, Markakis has a
strong right field arm. His bat has quickly developed since becoming a hitter
full-time. He has put on an impressive display in Spring Training causing the
Orioles the temptation to include him on their Opening Day roster.
8.
Chris Young -- Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
Double-A |
466 |
.277 |
41 |
3 |
26 |
70 |
129 |
.377 |
.545 |
Recently acquired from the White Sox
in the Javier Vasquez deal, Young is another player with the double threat of
speed & power. He draws plenty enough walks to overlook his high strikeout
totals. He'll likely spend 2006 playing centerfield in Triple-A Tuscon.
9.
Billy Butler -- Kansas City Royals
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
High-A |
379 |
.348 |
30 |
2 |
25 |
42 |
80 |
.419 |
.636 |
|
|
Double-A |
112 |
.313 |
9 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
18 |
.353 |
.527 |
Based on his bat alone, Butler could
rank in the top 3 on this list. But because he is a defensive slug, he will
likely be relegated to 1b/dh duties and several others who have more athleticism
were ranked above him. At the plate, he'll mash. He'll probably spend the next
season-and-a-half in the minors until he moves into the middle of the Royals
lineup for good in mid-2007.
10.
Cameron Maybin --
Detroit Tigers
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
19
|
DNP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A 2005 first-round pick, Maybin ranked just slightly below highly-touted Justin
Upton as the top two high school players in the draft. He's not yet made his
professional debut, but his tools are spectacular enough to warrant a ranking
near the top of this list. If he at all lives up to the hype, he will skyrocket
up this list in the next couple years. Definitely one to keep an eye on.
11.
Brian Anderson
- Chicago White Sox
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
24
|
Triple-A |
448 |
.295 |
24 |
3 |
16 |
44 |
115 |
.360 |
.469 |
|
|
Majors |
34 |
.176 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
12 |
.176 |
.382 |
Brian Anderson will be
the White Sox starting centerfielder on Opening Day. He's a good hitter with
decent power; none of his tools are poor but nor are any of them exceptional. If
the White Sox come across a better center fielder, Anderson could easily fit in
as a corner outfielder.
12. Carlos Gonzalez
-- Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
20
|
Low-A |
352 |
.318 |
21 |
7 |
1 |
20 |
42 |
.359 |
.426 |
Gonzalez is much like Maybin in that
he is full of tools but still quite young and raw. His defense, arm strength and
hitting ability are each above average and scouts think above-average power
numbers are just a matter of time. Gonzalez and Maybin are the two players on
this list most likely to dramatically improve their ranking on the 2007 list.
13. Jason Kubel - Minnesota Twins
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
24
|
DNP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kubel was prepped to make a
significant big league splash last year until a knee injury kept him out of
action for the entire 2005 season. He has a great approach at the plate striking
out only 184 times in 1,534 minor league at-bats. He has good power and a strong
arm. He'll likely be worked back into action slowly, starting 2006 in Triple-A.
A mid-season call up would be no surprise.
14.
Ryan Sweeney -- Chicago White Sox
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
21
|
Double-A |
429 |
.298 |
22 |
3 |
1 |
35 |
53 |
.357 |
.371 |
The White Sox have not been
conservative with Sweeney despite his youth. His first full season in 2004 was
at High-A ball at only age 19. He was 20 in Double-A and will be only 21 this
season in Triple-A. Playing against such older competition has made his numbers
look rather ordinary, disguising the value of his tools. He has a strong arm and
is a good hitter with power yet to come.
15.
Brent Clevlen --
Detroit Tigers
|
Age
|
2005 level
|
at-bats
|
ave
|
2b
|
3b
|
hr
|
bb
|
so
|
obp
|
slg
|
|
22
|
High-A |
494 |
.302 |
28 |
4 |
18 |
65 |
118 |
.387 |
.484 |
Clevlen made his normal progression
Low-A to High-A ball in 2004 where he had a miserable season. He repeated the
Florida State League in 2005 and responded by raising his batting average .078
points, his OBP .087 points and his slugging percentage .134 points. He struck
out 9 less times in 74 more at-bats and drew 21 more walks improving his
strikout-to-walk ratio from 2.9 to 1.8. His strong right arm and developing
power will move on to Double-A for 2006.
2006
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