Baseball Examiner

Contest Analysis

Projection of games played through September 3

We have a new leader! Eric (GerbDude) has been staying close all along. Finally, with only one month left in the season, he jumped into the projection lead, surpassing Mel. Eric's projected win total improved by 26 wins since last month whereas Mel improved by only 10. The teams that most helped Eric in the last month to pass Mel include the Yankees (9 win edge for Eric over Mel since last month), Royals (12), Pirates (6), and Diamondbacks (10).

To best read the chart below, observe a team's projected win total in the 9/3 column (each team's projected in total based on games played through September 3) and compare with your prediction. The difference is the number of wins off you are for that team.

1 month		2 months		3 months		4 months		5 months		Final
Chuck	368	Chuck	312	Mel	270	Mel	203	Eric	179
Eric	382	Mel	320	Chuck	272	Eric	205	Mel	193
Mel	414	Eric	330	Eric	276	Chuck	223	Chuck	199
Alex	432	Alex	338	Alex	298	Matt	239	Phil	227
Matt	440	Matt	376	Phil	314	Alex	251	Alex	231
Phil	454	Phil	380	Dwaine	338	Phil	255	Matt	235
Dwaine	472	Dwaine	380	Matt	340	Dwaine	307	Dwaine	285

The entry that is closest to that team's projection is marked red.

Team	Avg	5/3	6/3	7/3	8/3	9/3	Final	CD	PZ	MO	EG	AR	DK	MC
Boston	94	87	90	93	93	96		95	93	89	98	95	99	89
New York (AL)	96	66	81	83	86	91		101	91	87	100	107	96	92
Toronto	72	93	85	83	84	80		73	71	76	72	63	65	83
Baltimore	80	106	96	88	77	77		76	74	81	80	85	87	74
Tampa Bay	71	54	59	53	63	66		66	81	67	64	65	78	77
Total wins off for all teams in division								19	30	20	24	43	45	25
Chicago (AL)	82	118	108	109	105	100		83	72	81	87	91	75	85
Cleveland	80	65	76	89	86	90		78	83	83	83	78	81	75
Minnesota	91	97	98	92	83	85		95	89	85	95	88	94	88
Detroit	78	78	81	77	78	77		75	72	75	80	83	84	78
Kansas City	63	44	51	53	58	52		61	70	70	51	55	70	66
Total wins off for all teams in division								50	62	46	34	33	68	58
Los Angeles (AL)	91	96	93	100	94	91		94	92	87	94	92	98	80
Oakland	85	78	63	80	91	91		88	87	84	90	82	76	90
Texas	77	81	92	85	81	80		75	75	76	85	86	70	72
Seattle	80	72	67	69	70	70		77	84	75	71	74	87	89
Total wins off for all teams in division								18	24	20	10	20	49	39
Atlanta	91	93	87	89	93	93		95	87	86	96	97	84	95
Philadelphia	83	72	81	81	84	87		76	85	82	84	85	90	79
Florida	88	101	87	86	83	86		93	89	88	94	78	89	88
Washington	67	84	85	100	86	83		71	68	74	69	62	65	61
New York (NL)	83	78	84	80	82	83		84	75	86	81	82	86	86
Total wins off for all teams in division								33	34	24	30	36	36	37
St. Louis	94	110	105	102	103	102		98	88	93	97	102	84	97
Houston	87	71	61	77	89	86		80	84	91	88	90	88	88
Milwaukee	71	78	78	76	80	79		69	81	70	62	66	70	77
Chicago (NL)	88	78	86	81	82	78		91	77	90	90	86	92	91
Cincinnati	77	62	63	62	73	74		75	79	80	80	75	78	75
Pittsburgh	68	58	76	71	69	66		64	72	70	64	70	69	70
Total wins off for all teams in division								36	32	45	44	30	50	27
San Diego	83	78	100	89	79	82		92	90	84	70	92	83	73
San Francisco	86	87	72	69	69	74		85	85	86	88	88	80	89
Los Angeles (NL)	86	106	81	76	73	73		88	87	83	82	91	89	81
Arizona	69	96	90	80	77	72		73	75	78	72	52	65	66
Colorado	68	41	52	57	60	65		59	74	73	63	70	58	76
Total wins off for all teams in division								43	45	38	37	69	37	49
Entry Score								199	227	193	179	231	285	235

Legend of participants:

CD = Chuck of Baseball Examiner

PZ = Phil of Baseball Examiner

MO = Mel Ogrodowski

EG = Eric Gerber

AR = Alex Ruiz

DK = Dwaine Knestrick

MC = Matt Crawford

Team projections after 4 months

Team projections after 3 months

Team projections after 2 months

Team projections after 1 month

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