Contest Analysis (half season)

Projection of games played through July 3

 

To best read the chart below, observe a team's projected win total in the 7/3 column (each team's projected in total based on games played through June 3) and compare with your prediction. The difference is the number of wins off you are for that team.

 

For example, based on games played through July 3, Boston is on pace to win 93 games. Phil's prediction of 93 is dead on, suffering 0 points against him. Chuck's prediction of 95 is off by 2. Add up how many wins you are off for all 30 teams, and you have your score. Lowest score wins.

 

Let's take a moment to evaluate teams' progress, or lack thereof, at the midpoint of the season...

AL East: Baltimore has come back to earth as the Red Sox and Yankees are the only teams to improve.

AL Central: White Sox continue to soar at high pace and the Indians have become a legitimate playoff threat.

AL West: Angels starting to run away with division, Oakland nearly catches Texas in the 3rd month of the season.

NL East: Washington is one of only 4 teams on pace for 100 wins, the rest remains a battle.

NL Central: Still no challengers for Cardinals, Reds consistently show the pace for a 100 loss season.

NL West: Los Angeles, San Francisco & Arizona have all significantly dipped since first month.

 

Looking to our predictions, we have a new leader! Baseball Examiner is being beaten at the midway point by Mel. The key performances in the season's 3rd month that helped put him in the lead were Minnesota's dropoff and the Indians' rise. Those two teams helped Mel gain 16 wins on Chuck to pass him for the lowest score.

 
entry 1 month 2 months 3 months 4 months 5 months Final score
Mel 414 320 270      
Chuck 368 312 272      
Eric 382 330 276      
Alex 432 338 298      
Phil 454 380 314      
Dwaine 472 380 338      
Matt 440 376 340      

 

 

The entry that is closest to that team's projection is marked red.

Team

Avg

5/3

6/3

7/3

8/3

9/3

Final

CD

PZ

MO

EG

AR

DK

MC

Boston

94

87

90

93

95

93

89

98

95

99

89

Baltimore

80

106

96

88

76

74

81

80

85

87

74

New York (AL)

96

66

81

83

101

91

87

100

107

96

92

Toronto

72

93

85

83

73

71

76

72

63

65

83

Tampa Bay

71

54

59

53

66

81

67

64

65

78

77

Total wins off for all teams in division

55

62

36

50

61

63

 

51

 

Chicago (AL)

82

118

108

109

83

72

81

87

91

75

85

Minnesota

91

97

98

92

95

89

85

95

88

94

88

Cleveland

80

65

76

89

78

83

83

83

78

81

75

Detroit

78

78

81

77

75

72

75

80

83

84

78

Kansas City

63

44

51

53

61

70

70

51

55

70

66

Total wins off for all teams in division

50

68

60

36

41

68

 

56

 

Los Angeles (AL)

91

96

93

100

94

92

87

94

92

98

80

Texas

77

81

92

85

75

75

76

85

86

70

72

Oakland

85

78

63

80

88

87

84

90

82

76

90

Seattle

80

72

67

69

77

84

75

71

74

87

89

Total wins off for all teams in division

32

40

32

18

16

39

 

63

 

Washington

67

84

85

100

71

68

74

69

62

65

61

Atlanta

91

93

87

89

95

87

86

96

97

84

95

Florida

88

101

87

86

93

89

88

94

78

89

88

Philadelphia

83

72

81

81

76

85

82

84

85

90

79

New York (NL)

83

78

84

80

84

75

86

81

82

86

86

Total wins off for all teams in division

51

46

38

50

60

58

 

55

 

St. Louis

94

110

105

102

98

88

93

97

102

84

97

Chicago (NL)

88

78

86

81

91

77

90

90

86

92

91

Houston

87

71

61

77

80

84

91

88

90

88

88

Milwaukee

71

78

78

76

69

81

70

62

66

70

77

Pittsburgh

68

58

76

71

64

72

70

64

70

69

70

Cincinnati

77

62

63

62

75

79

80

80

75

78

75

 Total wins off for all teams in division

 

44

48

57

64

42

64

 

41

 

San Diego

83

78

100

89

92

90

84

70

92

83

73

Arizona

69

96

90

80

73

75

78

72

52

65

66

Los Angeles (NL)

86

106

81

76

88

87

83

82

91

89

81

San Francisco

86

87

72

69

85

85

86

88

88

80

89

Colorado

68

41

52

57

59

74

73

63

70

58

76

 Total wins off for all teams in division

 

40

50

47

58

78

46

 

74

 

Entry Score

 

 

272

314

270

276

298

338

340

 

Legend of participants:

CD = Chuck of Baseball Examiner

PZ = Phil of Baseball Examiner

MO = Mel Ogrodowski

EG = Eric Gerber

AR = Alex Ruiz

DK = Dwaine Knestrick

MC = Matt Crawford

 

 

Standings after 2 months

Standings after 1 month

Contest main page